October 19, 2008

Survey Regarding Travel Policy Changes Due To Financial Crisis

Business Travel Coalition on October 17 completed a survey of 196 corporate travel managers (CTMs) from 17 countries. The survey was in response to heightened concern by CTMs regarding appropriately-measured responses to the global financial crisis with respect to travel policies. Survey strategy and questions were developed with input from CTMs, Wall Street analysts and members of the press who report on business travel.

Survey participants were from Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, India, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Panama, Singapore, South Africa, Switzerland, United Aram Emirates, United Kingdom and the United States. Some 66 participating corporations, or 34% of respondents, spend more than $20 million on air travel annually; 24 or 12% spend more than $75 million.

Instead of projections about future spend, BTC used travel policy changes as a proxy for likely impacts to future travel activity levels resulting from the financial crisis. A range of corporate travel policy responses was examined and reported on. Queries regarding the use of low-cost airlines and corporate decisions regarding capital investments in technological substitutes to air travel rounded out the picture.

Some 25.5% of survey participants implemented emergency travel cutbacks in past weeks as a direct result of the financial crisis; 34.4% indicated that cutbacks have taken the form of straight up travel freezes. Among corporations that have not implemented emergency travel cutbacks, 46% have at least emplaced additional controls on travel activities.


There is an eerie similarity in the current economic environment compared with the last cyclical downturn in the fall of 2000; however, there is an order-of-magnitude increase in the seriousness of the current situation and in corporate responses vis-à-vis travel policy changes this time around.

To obtain a copy of the BTC survey results and analysis click here.

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October 14, 2008

The 2009 Global Travel Industry: A Crucible of Crisis

In a crucible of crisis, the global travel industry will fundamentally change in 2009 in response to seismic shifts under the surface of the global economy. Change on an economic macro level will be orders-of-magnitude greater than that which resulted from the U.S. savings and loan calamity of the 1980s, which cost taxpayers $124 billion, or the Asian economic crisis of the 1990s, which gave rise to concerns of financial contagion. Today, we’re in the throes of an economic meltdown that seems at best to promise a lengthy period of marketplace volatility and dramatic changes to worldwide travel demand. Previous projections about the dire financial state of the world’s airlines may prove conservative and all travel and tourism industry stakeholders will be impacted accordingly. The time has never been more urgent for corporate travel buyers to get directly involved in shaping events that will impact our future.  

With the knowledge that disruptive change is hurtling toward us, the industry must expedite its search for answers to questions about the impacts, for example, to corporate travel programs from accelerated competitor consolidation in several travel industry segments. Likewise, we must “look around the corner” and seek to identify those problems that could surprise the industry in irreparably damaging ways; e.g., in difficult economic times, travel and tourism is always an easy target for unfair and unbalanced taxation schemes.

Corporate buyers in particular must guard their hard-won “seat-at-the-table” to protect their interests as travel industry pricing models, distribution system choices, service levels and safety and security programs are all “rationalized” vis-à-vis a new economic reality. Buyers should not inadvertently give up the influence they have worked for at the industry and government levels in recent years. As sure as the sun rises in the east, some opportunistic industry participants will look to disproportionally transfer to the corporate customer additional direct costs, as well as indirect costs from incoherent changes to policies, practices and processes. If you do not have a seat at the table, you’re probably on the menu!

I would like to share with you three strategic issues that BTC is engaging in advance of 2009, often in collaboration with other industry organizations, in order to create a more economically sustainable travel industry. Moreover, BTC will be working with global travel industry participants to better understand the problems that might lie ahead and to get the industry focused on them straightaway.

2009 ISSUES

I. COMPREHENSIVE ENERGY POLICY
Energy is the lifeblood of modern civilizations. The U.S. and most other countries have no comprehensive, realistic and rational energy policy that would stabilize pricing, assure supply, reduce dependence on foreign oil supplies and thoughtfully balance the conflicting objectives of global economic growth and protection of the environment. Recent oil price-levels and volatility will continue to cause the airline industry to shrink resulting in (1) lost jobs, (2) aging aircraft fleets, (3) abandoned airports, (4) higher airfares out of reach for average consumers worldwide and (5) insufficient financial returns and under-investment by all manner of travel industry commercial participants. With the price of oil having retreated from a July high of $147/barrel we may now have a brief and important window-of-opportunity to press for energy policy legislation before the travel industry is yet again staring into the abyss as a result of unsustainable and potentially bankrupting energy prices.

II. U.S. AIR TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE

The U.S. is nearing the status of third-world countries with respect to the modernity and efficiency of its air traffic control system and other vital aviation infrastructure. The U.S. has lost its envied leadership role in aviation infrastructure innovation. The nation’s commercial fleet zigs and zags throughout the country wasting expensive fuel, harming the environment and robbing airlines and travelers of valuable productivity. How do we get on with funding long-overdue ATC modernization? Do implementation timelines need to be reevaluated? The current processes – political and project management – are structurally failed ones; how might the entire approach to modernization be reconceptualized? We cannot afford further delay. 

III.  U.S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY REGULATION
It is said that economists rarely agree on anything. However, one exception apparently is they concur that some markets work well; some markets do not work well; and some markets do not work at all. By most measures, the airline industry is not functioning well at all 30 years and 165 airline-failures after deregulation, e.g., shareholder returns, labor stability, customer service, distribution system strength, fleet age, aircraft maintenance standards, service to small and mid-size communities and international stature. Insufficient regulation of the financial markets, as a root cause of the current financial crisis, will likely provide more support for those favoring some level of government intervention in the troubled airline industry. Is government intervention really required or desirable? Where could government add value? What are the alternatives to such intervention?    

Should you require a keynote address, presentation, executive briefing or education session for your customers, members, senior management or Board of Directors in 2009, BTC would be pleased to assist you. Previous presentations and government testimony can be accessed here. (http://businesstravelcoalition.com/presentations/testimony.htm)  

For more information on schedule availability and to request a proposal, please contact Kevin Mitchell at 610.341.1850, or at mitchell@BusinessTravelCoalition.com.

March 27, 2008

Tip Of The Iceberg

As reported today in the Pioneer Press: Imagine being able to go online to check the safety record of the airplane on which you're booking a seat. That's one idea that's occurred to Kevin Mitchell as he's watched the latest round of stepped-up airplane inspections by federal regulators. "You'd know where your aircraft was last inspected and repaired," said Mitchell, chairman of the Business Travel Coalition, an advocacy group for business travelers.

BTC ANALYSIS

The highly effective AA and DL inspections of MD-80s this week represent a FAA/airline oversight and inspection process that passengers perceive is always going on in the background. However, such pro-activity, unfortunately, is not the norm. Give credit to House T&I Chair Jim Oberstar who launched a months-long investigation, and scheduled hearings, including the much-anticipated one next week, that prompted the FAA to impose a record face-saving $10.2M fine on Southwest Airlines (this fine will likely be negotiated way down if public attention subsides). Pressure is on the FAA, and growing.

TIP OF THE ICEBERG

Once focus is shifted away from these recent domestic inspections to FAA airworthiness directives that have been implemented at foreign repair facilities, then flawed current aircraft maintenance outsourcing practices and an outdated FAA oversight model will likely generate headlines on a daily basis. Imagine the concern corporate travel managers and passengers will have when they learn that critical maintenance is being performed in third-world countries by untrained, unlicensed workers who cannot read the English-language maintenance manuals and who did not have criminal background checks performed on them while they work on planes in non-secured areas.

LET THE MARKET DECIDE

Airlines often justify their policies by reciting the mantra of “the market is driving our decisions.” Airline passengers would no doubt drive airline maintenance outsourcing decisions if they possessed complete and accurate information with respect to where their aircraft was last maintained.

Consider these hypothetical passenger choices while booking a flight between Chicago and London.

Option A: Book a flight on an aircraft that was overhauled in Indonesia (a suspected al Qaeda stronghold) by workers with no training in a non-secured facility that rarely, if ever (in the case of non FAA-certificated repair facilities), was inspected by FAA.

Option B: Book a flight on an aircraft that was maintained in the U.S. by licensed mechanics, with an average of 18 years experience, supervised by licensed airline inspectors in a FAA-certificated repair facility where there are sufficient FAA inspectors to oversee the program.

I hope Jim Oberstar’s Committee considers mandating this kind of disclosure, and then the market will truly drive airline maintenance decisions. The concern over this issue is widespread and growing.

WHO IS CONCERNED ABOUT FAA OVERSIGHT PROBLEMS?

Corporate travel managers, passengers, airline mechanics, current FAA inspectors, current and past and present NTSB Board members, former NTSB accident investigators, former DOT IGs, former airline CEOs, GAO officials, investigative reporters and senior Congressional staff and Members who have been keen FAA and TSA observers over time.

EDITOR Note: A growing crisis in U.S. regulatory oversight of airlines’ maintenance programs and practices has emerged as recent developments and press stories have established. (See reports and analysis here.) To support a Signatory Letter to House Transportation Committee Chairman James Oberstar, please provide your approval HERE by COB Monday, March 31.

March 26, 2008

AA Grounds MD-8os; A Vivid Oversight Contrast

The Associated Press today broke a story regarding American Airlines cancelling some 200 flights at ORD and DFW to ensure wiring bundles on its MD-80s were installed and secured according to an airworthiness directive. It is not known if the wiring results left American out of compliance.

This joint FAA / American exercise is how the oversight system is supposed to work. Consider two examples: the March 20 grounding of United’s 747s and today’s grounding of American’s MD-80s.

UNITED AIRLINES

The FAA and the carrier had relatively little access to the Ameco maintenance facility in Korea until after the problem was discovered.

AMERICAN AIRLINES

American was able to efficiently dispatch teams to review and or fix the harnessing to ensure compliance. Importantly, because American’s maintenance is performed at its U.S. maintenance bases, FAA personnel had ongoing access to American’s line staff, supervisors, aircraft, log books, mechanic’s Task Cards, maintenance manuals, engineers and maintenance control, i.e. where the planes are sent for inspection and modification. What’s more, there are ample FAA inspectors to immediately engage the issue.

The upshot of this vivid contrast is that airlines that are unwilling to have this kind of FAA scrutiny have no incentive to maintain their fleets in the U.S. It’s cheaper and there is less oversight by an order of magnitude when maintenance is performed overseas, sometimes even in non FAA-certificated repair stations that the FAA does not even know exist.

BTC believes that at this time an independent and expert top-down review of the FAA should be undertaken to review its mission, organizational structure, funding, culture and systemic problems. We encourage Congress to consider a directive to the National Academy of Sciences, Transportation Research Board, to perform such a thorough review of the FAA. 

EDITOR’S Note: A growing crisis in U.S. regulatory oversight of airlines’ maintenance programs and practices has emerged as recent developments and press stories have established. (See reports and analysis here.) To support a Signatory Letter to House Transportation Committee Chairman James Oberstar, please provide your approval HERE by COB Monday, March 31.

March 20, 2008

United Airlines Grounds 747s

The Dallas Morning News broke a story this morning regarding a Congressional inquiry into the FAA’s handling of a Continental Airlines’ mishap. The paper writes: “A congressional committee is investigating regulators' decision to grant immunity to Continental Airlines pilots for mistakes that led to an El Paso mechanic being sucked into a jet engine in 2006… The FAA granted amnesty over the objections of a veteran safety inspector, Phil Thrash, who reported his concerns to the FAA's administrator and the U.S. Department of Transportation's inspector general… They washed their hands of the whole matter," Mr. Thrash said of FAA managers. "It was a cover-up.”

Late this afternoon, the Wall Street Journal reported that United Airlines today has grounded up to 6 Boeing 747 jumbo jets because of faulty work performed by a foreign aircraft maintenance facility in Korea. On the heels of the unfolding Southwest Airlines / FAA debacle, this is more evidence that Congress must act with a sense of urgency to pass the FAA Reauthorization bill, which includes measures to address a growing threat to passenger safety and homeland security. 

“There are multiple standards for aircraft maintenance regulations, FAA oversight and TSA security regulations,” stated Kevin Mitchell, Chairman of the Business Travel Coalition. “Inexcusably, the Reauthorization bill is stalled in the Senate over a $25.00 landing fee, to balance out the financing of the system, while a vividly clear and present danger to passengers and our homeland increases daily. If this Senate impasse is not resolved in coming weeks, there will be no Reauthorization bill for at least another year.

Mitchell continued, “This failure of leadership on such a strategically important issue to this country is regrettable. There is simply no problem in commercial air transportation today of greater consequence facing the government, industry and consumer. BTC calls on Senate leadership to help resolve this gridlock and move the Reauthorization bill forward. Importantly, Congress should add to the bill a directive to the National Academy of Sciences, Transportation Research Board, to perform a top-down review of the FAA.”

For additional background on this issue visit BTC's Aircraft Maintenance Outsourcing Issue Center.

July 19, 2006

Business Travel Coalition Poll

Today in Chicago a group of corporate travel managers, TMC executives and other concerned industry participants will meet to discuss the Air Canada Tango controversy. I will report on the gathering in tomorrow’s blog. One subject we will most certainly discuss are the results of a recent Poll regarding steps individual travel agents and travel managers are taking in the marketplace to communicate their displeasure with Air Canada’s actions. Those results follow.

Between June 25 and June 30, 2006 the Business Travel Coalition conducted a poll of travel agents and travel managers to determine what steps are being taken in the marketplace to communicate to Air Canada the industry’s dissatisfaction with the airline’s removal of its Tango fares from the GDSs. Twenty-one corporate travel managers and twenty-four travel agents participated in the poll.

Poll Results

I. I have taken the following independent steps to register my dissatisfaction with treatment by Air Canada: (all that apply)

31 (22%)  Investigated alternative airlines.                                                            
31 (31%)  Stopped using / selling AC whenever alternatives exist.                         
18 (13%)  Voiced concerns to my AC representative.       
24 (17%)  Asked my industry Association to defend my company’s interest.                      
23 (16%)  Was a Signatory to an industry letter to AC.                                                      
  9   (6%)  Attended / listened over the Internet to the ACTA / BTC Toronto conference.       
3    (2%)  Contacted elected officials / regulators.                                                            
1    (1%)  Wrote a letter to my local newspaper. 

COMMENTS

  • I will only book AC only when it is absolutely necessary; I book United as they have almost the same choice.
  • WestJet loves Travel Agents!
  • I would love to tell my AC representative, if I ever saw him/her!
  • As far as I can see the sooner we can do without AC the better. They continually cause disruption and controversy. My clients do not want to use them if there is any other option.
  • Dealing with the staff as they are so miserable to both clients and agents is terrible; the less I have to do with them the better. When we do call it is like we are interrupting them and they have no concern regarding the clients or the agents. They cannot be bothered. This has come through loud and clear. Until I see an attitude adjustment I will do whatever I can to encourage my clients and everyone else to not use AC. So put the fares back or not I am done with them. I am tired of being abused by them and dealing with the unhappy clients that have the misfortune to have to fly with them.
  • We do not do volunteer work for any airline; only if there is no alternative do we sell zero-commission services.

II. Since May 3, my organization independently moved business away from AC in the approximate amount of:

28 (80%)  $1,000 to $100,000 (Canadian dollars)
  5 (15%)  $101,000 to $200,000
  2   (6%)  $201,000 to $300,000            

COMMENTS

  • We reduced our domestic traffic on Air Canada by 42%.
  • I am not sure of amount, but AC is almost becoming irrelevant in my office.
  • We are a small agency but if you look at percentage, and not dollars, you can see I have moved as much as possible away from them.

III. Other steps my organization has taken:

COMMENTS

  • Weekly conversations with my TMC regarding fragmentation costs.
  • Increased the use of web meetings because our strict internal company policy requires that employees book their travel through a designated agency so we can locate them in the event of an emergency. We have reiterated to all travelers that they are not to use the AC Website directly.
  • We now must allow travelers to bypass the newly installed self-booking tool and this increases the transaction cost to our company because they now secure travel arrangements with our preferred agency.
  • To offset some of these increased expenses caused by the Air Canada action, we have cut back on some travel.
  • Opted with lower fares with competitors such as WestJet in Canada and on trans border routes.
  • Investigated web scraping for on-line reservations; encouraged Agency to participate/communicate on our behalf.
  • I try not to sell AC in other markets as well, e.g., international destinations.
  • Held a conference call for all clients. Prepared a template of a letter for our clients to send AC directly.
  • Encouraged use of online tool that can search ac.com. Encouraged agency partner to offer online search capability through their process.
  • Posted a sign regretfully informing our customers that we have been banned from the least expensive fares by Air Canada and that they will have to book AC themselves. (Very regretfully since many clients have no access to the web or do not have a credit card.)
  • I book WestJet, CanJet, United, US Airways; anybody but AC when possible.
  • Other than reducing our sales to AC to show our dissatisfaction we as an organization have no other option.
  • We do not offer Tango fares to customers, ever.
  • We have been telling clients what Air Canada did and what the effect may be on them.
  • I am not selling them so I need no other steps.

    July 18, 2006

    Air Tight in the Windy City or Defining Full Content Once and For All

    In my last couple of posts I've talked about the need for air-tight commitments from the airlines to full content and protection from discrimination.  Corporations provide too much high-yield business to airlines to be given anything less than an air-tight commitment to full content.  And corporations shouldn't be discriminated against for the GDS they choose; it should be your choice, particularly because of the value you bring the airlines.  (As one corporate travel manager said yesterday here at the NBTA Convention in Chicago, "It's a lot easier to switch airlines than GDSs.")

    I was drafted onto a panel today in the “Nobody’s Content With Content” session to represent corporate travel departments when a panelist could not attend. It was lively and all the threshold questions came up. The “F” word, fragmentation, and concerns about it, was raised by members of the audience and the panel alike. It was clear travel managers want serious commitments to full content through their GDS.

    But what do we mean when we say "air-tight commitments to full content" and "no discrimination?"

    Full content means exactly that: everything.  It's all fares made available for purchase by the general public at any reservations outlet:

    • Published fares -- from any channel that are broadly available/published
    • Web fares -- whether the airlines or an online agency
    • Promotional fares
    • Private fares
    We've heard about airlines wanting to keep the right to send promotional offers to "targeted groups" of their travelers.  If it's not well-defined, a "targeted group" could mean "only their frequent flyers," which of course is tens of millions of people, and probably a great percentage of your travelers.  (See my previous posting about what happens to your travel program when airlines are allowed to make offers you can't make to your travelers.)

    Then there's non-discriminatory access.  You shouldn't be discriminated against because of the GDS you use. You should have non-discriminatory
    access to all private/unpublished fares including:                                 

    --bulk fares
    --consolidator fares
    --corporate negotiated discounts
    --group fares
    --meeting and convention fares
    --net fares

    It's important that we get this right.  Everyone should be asking their
    GDS and their airlines about this.  Will you get access to truly full
    content, or will there be holes in the promise?  Will you be
    discriminated against because of who you do business with?

    The answers should be unequivocal.

    July 17, 2006

    Air Canada Needs to Restore Tango Fares to GDSs

    Republished with permission from The Beat.

    By: Christiane Théberge, Vice-President, Public Affairs, Association of Canadian Travel Agencies; Lyell Farquharson, Spokesperson, Canadian Corporate Travel Association; Kevin Mitchell, Chairman, Business Travel Coalition

    Reacting to the outcry against its heavy-handed, surprise decision to withdraw access to its Tango fares, Air Canada has taken a step back to restore a connection with professional travel agents who sell 70% of its tickets.  Air Canada has announced the return of Tango fares to the Air Canada agency web portal with a credulity-straining proclamation that the airline’s “concern has always been the agencies’ access to content in an environment they can work in.”   We’re glad Air Canada is finally talking, but travel professionals are right to maintain their skepticism of the nation's dominant airline. The real opportunity for Air Canada to achieve alignment with its air travel distribution partners, and corporate customers, is to return Tango fares to the Global Distribution Systems (GDSs) without delay.   

    An airline serious about developing a good working environment for travel agents would in fact do well to talk to travel agents. Travel agents are still waiting for the phone to ring. This leads us to ask if consultation is a long-term priority for Air Canada. Most Canadian travel agents would tell Air Canada that the web portal is a woefully inadequate place to do business, just as it is for agents in the U.S. and elsewhere in the world. Yes, we’re glad that Tango fares are available through this relatively inefficient channel, but if Air Canada’s leaders are expecting hearts and roses from the agency and corporate travel manager communities, they should be seated while they’re waiting. 

    Travel professionals do not want to be forced to navigate unique supplier websites in order to serve their customers when a far more welcoming and efficient distribution platform exists – namely, the GDS. In the U.S., the National Commission to Ensure Consumer Information and Choice in the Airline Industry in 2002 studied this issue in depth and concluded in its final report to the President and Congress that web portals, among other things, do not allow agents to control the passenger record, to serve as a value-added travel manager, to work quickly and efficiently, to consolidate financial records and to keep all passenger profiles in one place. The report concluded that “the lack of integrated information imposes costs on agents, both for separate search equipment and in the extra time required to perform the searches. These costs will ultimately be reflected in service charges to consumers.”

    Marc Rosenberg, Air Canada’s distribution head, tells us that Canadian agents have a different model than those who work in the U.S. He says that Canadian agents who are used to booking low cost carriers have been programmed differently to embrace and accept the Internet where their American cousins have resisted. He says that Canadian agents looking for data in one single source have been able to accomplish that by acquisition of third-party software. Here’s the truth Mr. Rosenberg: from a travel agency perspective, web portals just don’t cut it, including Air Canada’s. They create the need for expensive and inefficient workarounds. They distract travel agents from giving their customers optimal service.   

    The history of travel distribution boils down to three essential, related themes: competition, content and control. Dominant airlines like Air Canada appear to believe that if they can withhold access to fare content from distributors, they can seize control of passengers by forcing them into the company store. To this we say: “Air Canada, many customers resent this treatment.” Business and leisure travelers alike say “no thanks” to being deprived of personalized, streamlined, value-added service that facilitates travel shopping and buying – the sort that comes from a travel agent automated by a GDS. Air Canada should back up its rhetoric about concern for travel agents’ working environment with good faith action – instead of a small step, it should take all the necessary steps to restore Tango fares to the GDS so that we can all focus on what’s important: serving our end-customers the best way we know how.

    In the Eye of the Storm?

    As I attended today’s “Perfect Storm” panel discussion here at the NBTA convention, I couldn’t help but think about how appropriate that title was.  While many people here are saying that the recent airline and GDS announcements signal eventual calm waters ahead (even if they are costlier calm waters), I fear that the calm some are feeling is only the eye of the storm.

    In fact, I’ve become even more convinced in the last 24 hours – talking with people here – that American clearly has demanded loopholes in its GDS contracts.  This makes the yet-to-be-completed negotiations between American and Sabre all the more critical. And it means that corporate travel managers must act to ensure they don’t find themselves in the storm of a fragmented marketplace once again. Questions and comments from the floor of the “Perfect Storm” session underscored the disbelief travel buyers feel that their airline partners would knowingly heap extra fragmentation, complexity and costs upon them.

    Why is fragmentation a bad thing for corporate travel managers?  It comes down to the three C’s: Credibility, Control and Costs.

    If airlines are able to offer fares and send special promotions to travelers – including your corporate travelers – and those offers aren’t available through the corporate travel program, the program loses its Credibility.  The recent action by Air Canada, pulling its lowest fares out of GDSs, is hurting corporate travel programs north of the border.  It’s this kind of action that I trust Sabre is trying to fend off in its negotiations with American.

    With your program’s Credibility eroding, travelers feel justified in – in fact they feel good about – “saving their company money” by using other means to secure lower fares.  That cuts into your ability to Control a corporate travel program.  What was an integrated program – with clear insight into what suppliers are doing and where travelers are going – is now fragmented and unmanageable.  You no longer know all of your travelers who are in a location when terror strikes or a tunnel implodes.

    And ironically, those travelers trying to “save the company money” by using outside channels are now driving higher Costs.  They have hurt your ability to negotiate with suppliers.  You have less leverage because the travel spend through your program is less.  And now the airlines can extract exactly what they want: higher prices – in the form of reduced discounts.

    Alternatively, if you try to build work-arounds and other tools to bring these offers into your system, or capture these out-of-system bookings, you’ve also increased your Costs.

    We need to avoid this storm.  We need to take advantage of our access to airlines and GDSs this week to make absolutely sure they know where we stand.  We won’t stand for another fragmented marketplace, with no Credibility, no Control and higher Costs.   We expect that full content means full content…that protection from discrimination means real protection.

    July 16, 2006

    Reading Between the Lines

    As we head into NBTA’s 2006 Convention, the news seems to be coming fast and furious at all of us. 

    Last week alone, American announced its “Source Premium Policy.” Next came Galileo’s “Content Continuity Program,” followed by United’s “Distribution Channel Policy.” Worldspan said it will announce its “Optional Product 1” late this week. All of this comes on the heels of Sabre’s announcement of its Efficient Access Solution in June.

    What do we make of all of this? What should we be concerned about?

    Obviously, it looks like there is no way around cost increases. That’s bad news. But it actually could be worse…the cost increases could actually come without the full content you are paying for. And fragmentation of content would undermine corporate travel programs and raise costs further.

    With all the secrecy in the airline-GDS agreements, I’m concerned about fragmentation for two reasons:

    1) Airlines’ actions during the past three years tell us that they sign agreements and then try to go around them. Air Canada is the most recent example. So how can we be sure that “full content” really means full content?

    2) From what Sabre said in a note to agencies last week, its breakdown in negotiations with American centers on getting air-tight commitments to content protections for agencies. If Sabre – the GDS through which the largest number of American’s bookings flow – can’t get the protections it thinks it needs from American, then we have to wonder whether anyone has secured air tight content protection from American yet.   

    Galileo’s note to agencies seemed to indicate that it would rely on Sabre to secure all content, saying that its full content would be “equal to or better than any other GDS system.” That’s code for a most-favored-nation clause, which tells us – given Sabre’s stated concerns about American – that it must not have full protections (yet) written into its contracts with airlines.

    Without true full content, things could unravel quickly for corporate travel programs. Travelers could find content on airline Web sites and ignore travel policies, undermining the integrity of the travel program. Then there are security problems: Tracking travelers in Mumbai, Madrid, London or Lower Manhattan would become a nightmare. 

    Doing workarounds to include content somehow not included in “full content” could be costly. All of this puts the corporate travel program in jeopardy.

    Without a strong corporate travel program managing airline pricing, costs go up. But then again, that seems to be what airlines want…fragmentation, leading to less control by corporations, leading to higher fares.

    It’s bad news that costs will go up on the front end. It would be devastating news if costs went up because of fragmentation. 

    This week, every travel manager should be pressing their GDS and the airlines at NBTA to ensure that all risks of fragmentation are completely off the table.